๐ DegenHedge
โฐ
๐ NBA In-Game Alerts
The Score Says One Thing.The Market Says Another.
Our Goldman-Stern win probability model watches every NBA game in real time. When the model sees a gap between what's happening on the court and what the sportsbooks are pricing โ you get an alert.
Start NBA Alerts โ $29.99/mo
All 30 teams ยท Custom team filters ยท Real DraftKings/FanDuel odds ยท Cancel anytime
How It Works
A calibrated win probability model reads live scores and compares against sportsbook odds every 60 seconds.
1
Model Watches Every Game
Goldman-Stern normal CDF model calibrated from 3,685 NBA games. Computes P(home wins) from the current score and time remaining.
2
Compares to Sportsbook Odds
Live DraftKings and FanDuel moneyline odds are fetched via API. The gap between model probability and market implied probability is the signal.
3
Alert Fires When Gap Opens
When model confidence โฅ 60% and the gap versus sportsbook odds exceeds 8 percentage points, you get a Telegram alert.
4
You Place the Bet
Use any sportsbook, prediction market, or exchange. We provide the edge โ you execute where you have an account.
What an Alert Looks Like
Example Telegram Alert
๐
SIGNAL: Lakers (NBA In-Game)
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๐ Model confidence:
78.5% Lakers
๐ฐ Market price (Lakers):
$0.55
๐ Gap:
+24% (model vs market)
๐ Score: PHX 45 - LAL 52 (3rd Quarter, 18 min left)
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Strong edge. Suggested: Lakers on your sportsbook or prediction market.
Every alert includes: team recommendation, model confidence, live sportsbook price, gap magnitude, live score, and time remaining.
Filter by Your Teams
Don't want 30 teams worth of alerts? Set your preferences in Telegram.
/teams LAL BOS PHX
โ You'll only get alerts for Lakers, Celtics, and Suns games.
/teams all
โ Get alerts for every NBA game.
๐ Ready to bet smarter?
Join during the free beta and get full access to every NBA alert while we build the track record.
$29.99 / month
Start NBA Alerts โ