🏀 NBA In-Game Alerts

The Score Says One Thing.
The Market Says Another.

Our Goldman-Stern win probability model watches every NBA game in real time. When the model sees a gap between what's happening on the court and what the sportsbooks are pricing — you get an alert.

Start NBA Alerts — $29.99/mo

All 30 teams · Custom team filters · Real DraftKings/FanDuel odds · Cancel anytime

How It Works

A calibrated win probability model reads live scores and compares against sportsbook odds every 60 seconds.

Model Watches Every Game

Goldman-Stern normal CDF model calibrated from 3,685 NBA games. Computes P(home wins) from the current score and time remaining.

Compares to Sportsbook Odds

Live DraftKings and FanDuel moneyline odds are fetched via API. The gap between model probability and market implied probability is the signal.

Alert Fires When Gap Opens

When model confidence ≥ 60% and the gap versus sportsbook odds exceeds 8 percentage points, you get a Telegram alert.

You Place the Bet

Use any sportsbook, prediction market, or exchange. We provide the edge — you execute where you have an account.

What an Alert Looks Like

Example Telegram Alert

🏀 SIGNAL: Lakers (NBA In-Game)
──────────────────
📊 Model confidence: 78.5% Lakers
💰 Market price (Lakers): $0.55
📐 Gap: +24% (model vs market)
🏟 Score: PHX 45 - LAL 52 (3rd Quarter, 18 min left)
──────────────────
Strong edge. Suggested: Lakers on your sportsbook or prediction market.

Every alert includes: team recommendation, model confidence, live sportsbook price, gap magnitude, live score, and time remaining.

Filter by Your Teams

Don't want 30 teams worth of alerts? Set your preferences in Telegram.

    /teams LAL BOS PHX

    → You'll only get alerts for Lakers, Celtics, and Suns games.

    /teams all

    → Get alerts for every NBA game.

🏀 Ready to bet smarter?

Join during the free beta and get full access to every NBA alert while we build the track record.

$29.99 / month

Start NBA Alerts →