Three kinds of tools are sold for Kalshi's 15-minute Bitcoin markets (series KXBTC15M): bots that place orders for you through Kalshi's API, dashboards and indicators you read yourself, and alert feeds that send a read to your phone. DegenHedge is the third kind: a Telegram feed that, on most windows, sends our model's read beside the live Kalshi price about two minutes before the close, and grades every call in public. Whatever you look at, check four things before you pay: each call is on record before the close, each call names a Kalshi ticker you can look up, the win rate comes with its average entry price, and the losses are in the log. On that third test our own feed sits below breakeven, and we say so up front.
| Kind of tool | What it does | What to check first |
|---|---|---|
| Trading bot | Places orders on Kalshi for you through its API, using your account's API key. | Who holds your key, what it trades at which price, and a graded record that includes fees. |
| Dashboard or indicator | Shows the strike, the Bitcoin price and the Kalshi quotes so you can decide yourself. | Which price it shows. Kalshi settles on a 60-second CF Benchmarks BRTI average, not on one exchange's chart. |
| Alert feed (Telegram, Discord) | Sends a call (Up or Down) with a price, and you decide whether to trade. | Timestamps, tickers, the average entry price beside the win rate, and a complete loss log. |
None of the three changes the arithmetic of the contract: buying at P cents only pays off if that side wins more than P% of the time, plus Kalshi's fee. For the mechanics of one window, see how Kalshi 15-minute Bitcoin markets work; for bots specifically, see Kalshi BTC 15-minute bots.
| Market | Kalshi KXBTC15M only: Bitcoin up or down over each 15-minute window. In-game NFL, MLB and NBA feeds are separate products. |
| When it fires | About two minutes before each window closes, on most windows, around the clock apart from Kalshi's Thursday maintenance. Expect dozens of alerts a day. |
| What an alert says | The side (Up or Down), the live Kalshi ask for that side, our model's estimate (labelled as ours, and historically optimistic), the window's close time and a link to the market. |
| What it does not do | Place trades, hold money, ask for your Kalshi login, size positions or promise an outcome. You decide what, if anything, to do with an alert. |
| Record | Every alert is graded on Kalshi's official result in a public results log and CSV, losses included. Live: 91.2% at a 91.7¢ average entry, below the breakeven that price implies before and after Kalshi's fee. |
| Price | Free for 30 days with a card on file, then $4.99 a month per feed until you cancel. Cancel before the trial ends and you pay nothing. |
In the frozen research sample from March 24 to October 8, 2026, the feed won 91.18% of 11,803 graded signals at a 91.72¢ average entry, 0.54 points under breakeven before fees (fee and breakeven study). We sell it as coverage and speed with a public grade on every call, not as an edge on the price.
The longer version of this checklist, for any signal service, is how to verify a signal service's track record.
api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/markets/<ticker>. The result field is Kalshi's official outcome.Yes, several services send Kalshi BTC 15-minute alerts to Telegram. DegenHedge's feed sends our model's read beside the live Kalshi price about two minutes before each window closes, on most windows, and grades every call in a public log. It does not place trades.
Not on our evidence. Our own feed won 91.18% of 11,803 graded signals at a 91.72¢ average entry from March 24 to October 8, 2026, below the breakeven that price implies before fees and further below after. A win rate quoted without its average entry price leaves out the part that decides the answer.
Free for 30 days with a card on file, then $4.99 a month until you cancel. Cancel before the trial ends and you pay nothing.
No. It sends alerts only. You place any trade yourself on Kalshi, and we never see your Kalshi account or your money.
Every alert names a Kalshi market ticker. Kalshi's public API returns the official strike, settlement value and result for that ticker without an account, and our results.csv lists the ticker for every graded signal.
Free to read, free to check, and the paid feed is optional.
Every signal in our BTC 15-minute feed goes into a public results log and a downloadable CSV, graded against Kalshi's official result, losses included, with nothing pulled. The same record is available as JSON from our read-only API.
This is a free trial that becomes an automatically renewing subscription. A payment card is required to start, and you are not charged today. Your trial runs 30 days. At the end of it your card is charged $4.99 and then $4.99 every month until you cancel. Cancel any time before the trial ends and you pay nothing: use your account page, send /manage in the bot, or email [email protected]. Cancelling later stops future renewals at the end of the current paid month and does not refund it. No refunds except as required by law. By starting a trial you authorize these recurring charges and agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Signals are informational and for entertainment only, are not financial or betting advice, and any single signal can lose 100% of your stake. Must be 18+ (some platforms require 21+). If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
These are 15-minute binary prediction-market contracts. Any single window can lose 100% of your stake. They settle on a 60-second index average, not on the exchange chart you may be watching. At high prices a loss costs many times what a win pays, and Kalshi's fee raises the win rate you need above the price. Nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade only with money you can afford to lose. Must be 18+ or of legal age where you live. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER.